Some Autobiographical Reflections: Unlearning and Discovery
NEW BOOK: Patient Care under Uncertainty, Princeton University Press, 2019.
Forthcoming Articles
Tuberculosis Diagnosis and Treatment under Uncertainty, with Rachel Cassidy, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Predicting Kidney Transplant Outcomes with Partial Knowledge of HLA Mismatch, with Anat Tambur and Michael Gmeiner, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Judicial and Clinical Decision Making under Uncertainty, Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics
The Lure of Incredible Certitude, Economics and Philosophy
Towards Credible Patient-Centered Meta-Analysis, Epidemiology
Public Statements on Science in the Federal Government
Policy Analysis in a Post-Truth World, VOX, December 24, 2016
Trump Administration’s Attacks on Science Are Taking a Grim Toll, with B. Santer and R. Weymann, The Mercury News, January 3, 2018
Speaking Science to Power, with B. Santer and R. Weymann, Scientific American, April 23, 2018
STATEMENT TO RESTORE SCIENCE-BASED POLICY IN GOVERNMENT, By Concerned Members of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, April 2018
Communicating Uncertainty in Policy Analysis, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2019
Working Papers
Precise or Imprecise Probabilities? Evidence from survey response on late-onset dementia, with Pamela Giustinelli and Francesca Molinari
Statistical Inference for Statistical Decisions
Minimax-Regret Sample Design in Anticipation of Missing Data, with Application to Panel Data, with Jeff Dominitz
Tail and Center Rounding of Probabilistic Expectations in the Health and Retirement Study, with Pamela Giustinelli and Francesca Molinari
The Quantile Performance of Statistical Treatment Rules Using Hypothesis Tests to Allocate a Population to Two Treatments, with Aleksey Tetenov
Links to Books
C. Manski, Patient Care under Uncertainty, Princeton University Press, 2019.
C. Manski, Public Policy in an Uncertain World: Analysis and Decisions, Harvard University Press, 2013
- Link to video recording of public lecture on the book at the British Academy in March 2013, with discussion by Lord Gus O’Donnell
- Link to video recording of Sargan Lecture to economists on themes of the book at the Royal Economic Society meeting in April 2013
- Link to video recording of Cemmap Masterclass on themes of the book in March 2013 (six 90-minute lectures)
C. Manski, Social Choice with Partial Knowledge of Treatment Response, Princeton University Press, 2005.
C. Manski, Partial Identification of Probability Distributions, Springer-Verlag, 2003
C. Manski, J. Pepper, and C. Petrie (editors), Informing America's Policy on Illegal Drugs: What We Don't Know Keeps Hurting Us, National Academy Press, 2001 (book can be read online)
B. Fischhoff and C. Manski (editors), Elicitation of Preferences, Kluwer, 2000
C. Manski, Identification Problems in the Social Sciences, Harvard, 1995
C. Manski and I. Garfinkel (editors), Evaluating Welfare and Training Programs, Harvard, 1992
C. Manski, Analog Estimation Methods in Econometrics, Chapman & Hall, 1988
(out-of-print book can be downloaded for private use)
C. Manski and D. Wise College Choice in America, Harvard, 1983
C. Manski and D. McFadden (editors), Structural Analysis of Discrete Data with Econometric Applications, MIT Press, 1981 (out-of-print book can be downloaded for private use)
Samuil Manski, With God’s Help, 1990 (book can be downloaded for private use)
Courses
Economics 480-1, Introduction to Econometrics, Fall 2019 (first-year Ph.D. course), past examinations
The Survey of Economic Expectations
SEE Introduction
SEE Data and Codebooks
